Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Fakultas Teknik

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
117.8%
Sangat Baik
Retention Rate Rata-rata
53.0%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
7.8%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
2.7%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
21.1%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
24.9%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
75.8%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
25.2%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
90.8%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 1,332 617 1,121 820 4,246 40 4,006 322
2022 2,161 599 946 769 4,699 92 4,483 345
2023 1,283 1,066 1,005 821 4,893 165 4,216 378
2024 1,580 1,027 746 603 4,797 264 1,405 366
2025 1,237 918 756 522 4,359 392 2,306 390
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 84.2% 181.7% 44.2% 7.6% 95.3% 132.9% 24.2%
2022 43.8% 157.9% 44.9% 7.3% 97.4% 128.4% 16.0%
2023 78.3% 94.3% 47.0% 7.7% 89.5% 77.0% 29.5%
2024 47.2% 72.6% 70.3% 7.6% 34.8% 58.7% 23.2%
2025 61.1% 82.4% 58.7% 8.9% 61.9% 56.9% 31.5%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO 62.2% -40.6% 23.1% -21.7% 5.8% -7.1%
DAYA TAMPUNG -2.9% 78.0% -3.7% -10.6% 15.2% 48.8%
HASIL -15.6% 6.2% -25.8% 1.3% -8.5% -32.6%
MHS BARU -6.2% 6.8% -26.6% -13.4% -9.9% -36.3%
MHS AKTIF 10.7% 4.1% -2.0% -9.1% 0.9% 2.7%
WISUDA 7.1% 9.6% -3.2% 6.6% 5.0% 21.1%
CUTI 130.0% 79.3% 60.0% 48.5% 79.5% 880.0%
NONAKTIF 11.9% -6.0% -66.7% 64.1% 0.9% -42.4%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

1,519
Mean ± 383 (SD)
CV: 25.2% | Min: 1,237 | Max: 2,161
Q1: 1,283 | Median: 1,332 | Q3: 1,580
Skewness: 1.660 | Kurtosis: 2.533

DAYA TAMPUNG

845
Mean ± 223 (SD)
CV: 26.4% | Min: 599 | Max: 1,066
Q1: 617 | Median: 918 | Q3: 1,027
Skewness: -0.365 | Kurtosis: -3.044

HASIL

915
Mean ± 162 (SD)
CV: 17.7% | Min: 746 | Max: 1,121
Q1: 756 | Median: 946 | Q3: 1,005
Skewness: 0.070 | Kurtosis: -2.011

MHS BARU

707
Mean ± 137 (SD)
CV: 19.3% | Min: 522 | Max: 821
Q1: 603 | Median: 769 | Q3: 820
Skewness: -0.702 | Kurtosis: -2.132

MHS AKTIF

4,599
Mean ± 282 (SD)
CV: 6.1% | Min: 4,246 | Max: 4,893
Q1: 4,359 | Median: 4,699 | Q3: 4,797
Skewness: -0.436 | Kurtosis: -2.470

WISUDA

360
Mean ± 27 (SD)
CV: 7.5% | Min: 322 | Max: 390
Q1: 345 | Median: 366 | Q3: 378
Skewness: -0.567 | Kurtosis: -0.835

CUTI

191
Mean ± 141 (SD)
CV: 73.7% | Min: 40 | Max: 392
Q1: 92 | Median: 165 | Q3: 264
Skewness: 0.626 | Kurtosis: -0.683

NONAKTIF

3,283
Mean ± 1,352 (SD)
CV: 41.2% | Min: 1,405 | Max: 4,483
Q1: 2,306 | Median: 4,006 | Q3: 4,216
Skewness: -0.782 | Kurtosis: -1.848

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028