Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Program Studi Teknik Sipil

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
163.2%
Sangat Baik
Retention Rate Rata-rata
52.2%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
10.1%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
-31.1%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
139.3%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
51.5%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
77.9%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
70.9%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
116.4%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 382 78 257 151 1,204 8 1,060 61
2022 661 80 162 131 1,164 22 1,301 79
2023 181 124 125 109 1,160 32 955 102
2024 179 127 120 95 1,010 44 538 122
2025 139 134 119 83 829 56 313 146
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 67.3% 329.5% 48.4% 5.1% 88.7% 193.6% 16.0%
2022 24.5% 202.5% 42.8% 6.8% 113.7% 163.8% 12.0%
2023 69.1% 100.8% 49.9% 8.8% 85.1% 87.9% 56.4%
2024 67.0% 94.5% 58.1% 12.1% 57.6% 74.8% 68.2%
2025 85.6% 88.8% 61.9% 17.6% 44.5% 61.9% 105.0%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO 73.0% -72.6% -1.1% -22.3% -5.8% -63.6%
DAYA TAMPUNG 2.6% 55.0% 2.4% 5.5% 16.4% 71.8%
HASIL -37.0% -22.8% -4.0% -0.8% -16.2% -53.7%
MHS BARU -13.2% -16.8% -12.8% -12.6% -13.9% -45.0%
MHS AKTIF -3.3% -0.3% -12.9% -17.9% -8.6% -31.1%
WISUDA 29.5% 29.1% 19.6% 19.7% 24.5% 139.3%
CUTI 175.0% 45.5% 37.5% 27.3% 71.3% 600.0%
NONAKTIF 22.7% -26.6% -43.7% -41.8% -22.3% -70.5%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

308
Mean ± 219 (SD)
CV: 70.9% | Min: 139 | Max: 661
Q1: 179 | Median: 181 | Q3: 382
Skewness: 1.399 | Kurtosis: 1.200

DAYA TAMPUNG

109
Mean ± 27 (SD)
CV: 25.1% | Min: 78 | Max: 134
Q1: 80 | Median: 124 | Q3: 127
Skewness: -0.529 | Kurtosis: -3.181

HASIL

157
Mean ± 59 (SD)
CV: 37.6% | Min: 119 | Max: 257
Q1: 120 | Median: 125 | Q3: 162
Skewness: 1.794 | Kurtosis: 3.076

MHS BARU

114
Mean ± 27 (SD)
CV: 24.1% | Min: 83 | Max: 151
Q1: 95 | Median: 109 | Q3: 131
Skewness: 0.417 | Kurtosis: -1.293

MHS AKTIF

1,073
Mean ± 155 (SD)
CV: 14.5% | Min: 829 | Max: 1,204
Q1: 1,010 | Median: 1,160 | Q3: 1,164
Skewness: -1.249 | Kurtosis: 0.585

WISUDA

102
Mean ± 34 (SD)
CV: 33.1% | Min: 61 | Max: 146
Q1: 79 | Median: 102 | Q3: 122
Skewness: 0.132 | Kurtosis: -1.212

CUTI

32
Mean ± 19 (SD)
CV: 57.6% | Min: 8 | Max: 56
Q1: 22 | Median: 32 | Q3: 44
Skewness: -0.061 | Kurtosis: -0.865

NONAKTIF

833
Mean ± 401 (SD)
CV: 48.1% | Min: 313 | Max: 1,301
Q1: 538 | Median: 955 | Q3: 1,060
Skewness: -0.330 | Kurtosis: -1.630

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028