Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Program Studi Matematika

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
39.1%
Perlu Perbaikan
Retention Rate Rata-rata
54.6%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
11.1%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
-31.4%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
-23.1%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
26.6%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
67.2%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
29.1%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
28.0%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 50 71 30 16 118 4 71 13
2022 51 65 14 9 102 6 78 17
2023 25 54 21 19 99 6 79 3
2024 34 54 19 18 90 8 28 11
2025 34 54 31 19 81 10 42 10
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 60.0% 42.3% 54.8% 11.0% 63.6% 22.5% 26.0%
2022 27.5% 21.5% 49.5% 16.7% 82.4% 13.8% 33.3%
2023 84.0% 38.9% 49.4% 3.0% 85.9% 35.2% 12.0%
2024 55.9% 35.2% 64.9% 12.2% 40.0% 33.3% 32.4%
2025 91.2% 57.4% 54.4% 12.3% 64.2% 35.2% 29.4%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO 2.0% -51.0% 36.0% 0.0% -3.2% -32.0%
DAYA TAMPUNG -8.5% -16.9% 0.0% 0.0% -6.3% -23.9%
HASIL -53.3% 50.0% -9.5% 63.2% 12.6% 3.3%
MHS BARU -43.8% 111.1% -5.3% 5.6% 16.9% 18.8%
MHS AKTIF -13.6% -2.9% -9.1% -10.0% -8.9% -31.4%
WISUDA 30.8% -82.4% 266.7% -9.1% 51.5% -23.1%
CUTI 50.0% 0.0% 33.3% 25.0% 27.1% 150.0%
NONAKTIF 9.9% 1.3% -64.6% 50.0% -0.9% -40.8%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

39
Mean ± 11 (SD)
CV: 29.1% | Min: 25 | Max: 51
Q1: 34 | Median: 34 | Q3: 50
Skewness: 0.107 | Kurtosis: -2.234

DAYA TAMPUNG

60
Mean ± 8 (SD)
CV: 13.3% | Min: 54 | Max: 71
Q1: 54 | Median: 54 | Q3: 65
Skewness: 0.920 | Kurtosis: -1.545

HASIL

23
Mean ± 7 (SD)
CV: 31.8% | Min: 14 | Max: 31
Q1: 19 | Median: 21 | Q3: 30
Skewness: 0.057 | Kurtosis: -2.179

MHS BARU

16
Mean ± 4 (SD)
CV: 26.0% | Min: 9 | Max: 19
Q1: 16 | Median: 18 | Q3: 19
Skewness: -1.810 | Kurtosis: 3.255

MHS AKTIF

98
Mean ± 14 (SD)
CV: 14.2% | Min: 81 | Max: 118
Q1: 90 | Median: 99 | Q3: 102
Skewness: 0.412 | Kurtosis: 0.361

WISUDA

11
Mean ± 5 (SD)
CV: 47.4% | Min: 3 | Max: 17
Q1: 10 | Median: 11 | Q3: 13
Skewness: -0.702 | Kurtosis: 1.475

CUTI

7
Mean ± 2 (SD)
CV: 33.5% | Min: 4 | Max: 10
Q1: 6 | Median: 6 | Q3: 8
Skewness: 0.405 | Kurtosis: -0.178

NONAKTIF

60
Mean ± 23 (SD)
CV: 38.9% | Min: 28 | Max: 79
Q1: 42 | Median: 71 | Q3: 78
Skewness: -0.734 | Kurtosis: -2.106

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028