Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Program Studi Geofisika

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
31.4%
Perlu Perbaikan
Retention Rate Rata-rata
60.6%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
10.1%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
-35.7%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
100.0%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
47.8%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
54.8%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
54.7%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
19.0%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 40 71 28 17 112 2 81 6
2022 32 65 21 15 104 2 78 16
2023 10 54 10 9 118 4 72 4
2024 11 54 8 6 104 2 11 10
2025 28 54 28 11 72 6 27 12
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 70.0% 39.4% 52.2% 5.4% 74.1% 23.9% 15.0%
2022 65.6% 32.3% 48.6% 15.4% 76.9% 23.1% 50.0%
2023 100.0% 18.5% 58.9% 3.4% 64.4% 16.7% 40.0%
2024 72.7% 14.8% 82.4% 9.6% 12.5% 11.1% 90.9%
2025 100.0% 51.9% 61.0% 16.7% 45.8% 20.4% 42.9%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO -20.0% -68.8% 10.0% 154.5% 18.9% -30.0%
DAYA TAMPUNG -8.5% -16.9% 0.0% 0.0% -6.3% -23.9%
HASIL -25.0% -52.4% -20.0% 250.0% 38.2% 0.0%
MHS BARU -11.8% -40.0% -33.3% 83.3% -0.4% -35.3%
MHS AKTIF -7.1% 13.5% -11.9% -30.8% -9.1% -35.7%
WISUDA 166.7% -75.0% 150.0% 20.0% 65.4% 100.0%
CUTI 0.0% 100.0% -50.0% 200.0% 62.5% 200.0%
NONAKTIF -3.7% -7.7% -84.7% 145.5% 12.3% -66.7%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

24
Mean ± 13 (SD)
CV: 54.7% | Min: 10 | Max: 40
Q1: 11 | Median: 28 | Q3: 32
Skewness: -0.124 | Kurtosis: -2.411

DAYA TAMPUNG

60
Mean ± 8 (SD)
CV: 13.3% | Min: 54 | Max: 71
Q1: 54 | Median: 54 | Q3: 65
Skewness: 0.920 | Kurtosis: -1.545

HASIL

19
Mean ± 10 (SD)
CV: 50.5% | Min: 8 | Max: 28
Q1: 10 | Median: 21 | Q3: 28
Skewness: -0.280 | Kurtosis: -2.929

MHS BARU

12
Mean ± 4 (SD)
CV: 38.4% | Min: 6 | Max: 17
Q1: 9 | Median: 11 | Q3: 15
Skewness: 0.016 | Kurtosis: -1.581

MHS AKTIF

102
Mean ± 18 (SD)
CV: 17.4% | Min: 72 | Max: 118
Q1: 104 | Median: 104 | Q3: 112
Skewness: -1.624 | Kurtosis: 3.086

WISUDA

10
Mean ± 5 (SD)
CV: 49.7% | Min: 4 | Max: 16
Q1: 6 | Median: 10 | Q3: 12
Skewness: 0.206 | Kurtosis: -1.117

CUTI

3
Mean ± 2 (SD)
CV: 55.9% | Min: 2 | Max: 6
Q1: 2 | Median: 2 | Q3: 4
Skewness: 1.258 | Kurtosis: 0.313

NONAKTIF

54
Mean ± 32 (SD)
CV: 60.3% | Min: 11 | Max: 81
Q1: 27 | Median: 72 | Q3: 78
Skewness: -0.700 | Kurtosis: -2.495

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028