Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Fakultas Matematika dan IPA

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
68.1%
Baik
Retention Rate Rata-rata
58.1%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
8.7%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
-6.1%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
61.2%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
24.0%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
55.1%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
36.7%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
57.5%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 787 775 545 476 2,119 35 1,015 139
2022 1,387 630 525 467 2,444 48 1,380 222
2023 588 606 339 283 2,291 62 1,583 165
2024 776 646 339 268 2,160 87 864 207
2025 704 572 449 365 1,989 140 888 224
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 69.3% 70.3% 58.7% 6.6% 49.6% 61.4% 17.7%
2022 37.9% 83.3% 55.2% 9.1% 58.4% 74.1% 16.0%
2023 57.7% 55.9% 53.5% 7.2% 71.8% 46.7% 28.1%
2024 43.7% 52.5% 63.9% 9.6% 44.0% 41.5% 26.7%
2025 63.8% 78.5% 59.4% 11.3% 51.7% 63.8% 31.8%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO 76.2% -57.6% 32.0% -9.3% 10.3% -10.5%
DAYA TAMPUNG -18.7% -3.8% 6.6% -11.5% -6.8% -26.2%
HASIL -3.7% -35.4% 0.0% 32.4% -1.7% -17.6%
MHS BARU -1.9% -39.4% -5.3% 36.2% -2.6% -23.3%
MHS AKTIF 15.3% -6.3% -5.7% -7.9% -1.1% -6.1%
WISUDA 59.7% -25.7% 25.5% 8.2% 16.9% 61.2%
CUTI 37.1% 29.2% 40.3% 60.9% 41.9% 300.0%
NONAKTIF 36.0% 14.7% -45.4% 2.8% 2.0% -12.5%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

848
Mean ± 311 (SD)
CV: 36.7% | Min: 588 | Max: 1,387
Q1: 704 | Median: 776 | Q3: 787
Skewness: 1.863 | Kurtosis: 3.868

DAYA TAMPUNG

646
Mean ± 77 (SD)
CV: 12.0% | Min: 572 | Max: 775
Q1: 606 | Median: 630 | Q3: 646
Skewness: 1.516 | Kurtosis: 2.819

HASIL

439
Mean ± 98 (SD)
CV: 22.4% | Min: 339 | Max: 545
Q1: 339 | Median: 449 | Q3: 525
Skewness: -0.096 | Kurtosis: -2.917

MHS BARU

372
Mean ± 98 (SD)
CV: 26.4% | Min: 268 | Max: 476
Q1: 283 | Median: 365 | Q3: 467
Skewness: 0.077 | Kurtosis: -2.929

MHS AKTIF

2,201
Mean ± 174 (SD)
CV: 7.9% | Min: 1,989 | Max: 2,444
Q1: 2,119 | Median: 2,160 | Q3: 2,291
Skewness: 0.404 | Kurtosis: -0.247

WISUDA

191
Mean ± 38 (SD)
CV: 19.7% | Min: 139 | Max: 224
Q1: 165 | Median: 207 | Q3: 222
Skewness: -0.740 | Kurtosis: -1.756

CUTI

74
Mean ± 41 (SD)
CV: 55.7% | Min: 35 | Max: 140
Q1: 48 | Median: 62 | Q3: 87
Skewness: 1.189 | Kurtosis: 1.108

NONAKTIF

1,146
Mean ± 320 (SD)
CV: 27.9% | Min: 864 | Max: 1,583
Q1: 888 | Median: 1,015 | Q3: 1,380
Skewness: 0.694 | Kurtosis: -1.959

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028