Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Program Studi Fisika

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
31.3%
Perlu Perbaikan
Retention Rate Rata-rata
49.3%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
11.5%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
-52.9%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
-45.5%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
28.7%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
93.1%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
34.3%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
16.8%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 37 71 25 14 104 1 71 11
2022 43 65 14 8 87 1 99 12
2023 20 54 14 11 61 2 106 8
2024 20 54 13 8 65 2 34 5
2025 29 54 27 9 49 6 18 6
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 67.6% 35.2% 52.3% 10.6% 69.2% 19.7% 29.7%
2022 32.6% 21.5% 41.6% 13.8% 114.9% 12.3% 27.9%
2023 70.0% 25.9% 30.5% 13.1% 177.0% 20.4% 40.0%
2024 65.0% 24.1% 59.4% 7.7% 55.4% 14.8% 25.0%
2025 93.1% 50.0% 62.5% 12.2% 49.0% 16.7% 20.7%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO 16.2% -53.5% 0.0% 45.0% 1.9% -21.6%
DAYA TAMPUNG -8.5% -16.9% 0.0% 0.0% -6.3% -23.9%
HASIL -44.0% 0.0% -7.1% 107.7% 14.1% 8.0%
MHS BARU -42.9% 37.5% -27.3% 12.5% -5.0% -35.7%
MHS AKTIF -16.3% -29.9% 6.6% -24.6% -16.1% -52.9%
WISUDA 9.1% -33.3% -37.5% 20.0% -10.4% -45.5%
CUTI 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 200.0% 75.0% 500.0%
NONAKTIF 39.4% 7.1% -67.9% -47.1% -17.1% -74.6%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

30
Mean ± 10 (SD)
CV: 34.3% | Min: 20 | Max: 43
Q1: 20 | Median: 29 | Q3: 37
Skewness: 0.307 | Kurtosis: -2.128

DAYA TAMPUNG

60
Mean ± 8 (SD)
CV: 13.3% | Min: 54 | Max: 71
Q1: 54 | Median: 54 | Q3: 65
Skewness: 0.920 | Kurtosis: -1.545

HASIL

19
Mean ± 7 (SD)
CV: 36.6% | Min: 13 | Max: 27
Q1: 14 | Median: 14 | Q3: 25
Skewness: 0.641 | Kurtosis: -3.023

MHS BARU

10
Mean ± 3 (SD)
CV: 25.5% | Min: 8 | Max: 14
Q1: 8 | Median: 9 | Q3: 11
Skewness: 1.207 | Kurtosis: 0.580

MHS AKTIF

73
Mean ± 22 (SD)
CV: 30.1% | Min: 49 | Max: 104
Q1: 61 | Median: 65 | Q3: 87
Skewness: 0.597 | Kurtosis: -1.066

WISUDA

8
Mean ± 3 (SD)
CV: 36.3% | Min: 5 | Max: 12
Q1: 6 | Median: 8 | Q3: 11
Skewness: 0.162 | Kurtosis: -2.501

CUTI

2
Mean ± 2 (SD)
CV: 86.4% | Min: 1 | Max: 6
Q1: 1 | Median: 2 | Q3: 2
Skewness: 1.918 | Kurtosis: 3.878

NONAKTIF

66
Mean ± 39 (SD)
CV: 59.2% | Min: 18 | Max: 106
Q1: 34 | Median: 71 | Q3: 99
Skewness: -0.256 | Kurtosis: -2.498

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028