Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Program Studi Pendidikan Guru Sekolah Dasar
Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics
Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028
📊 Executive Dashboard
🎯 Kinerja Inti
Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
326.2%
Sangat Baik
Retention Rate Rata-rata
64.5%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
13.4%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran
📈 Growth Metrics
Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
16.1%
▲
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
-60.4%
▼
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
74.5%
Animo → Wisuda
⚠️ Risk Indicators
Attrition Rate Rata-rata
36.6%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
18.4%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
301.0%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal
📋 Data Historis 2021-2025
Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
| Tahun | Animo | Daya Tampung | Hasil | Mhs Baru | Mhs Aktif | Cuti | Nonaktif | Wisuda |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 520 | 160 | 490 | 479 | 3,140 | 15 | 1,365 | 861 |
| 2022 | 803 | 180 | 745 | 695 | 3,682 | 39 | 1,398 | 282 |
| 2023 | 825 | 220 | 723 | 664 | 4,012 | 72 | 1,388 | 418 |
| 2024 | 731 | 220 | 674 | 602 | 3,964 | 119 | 1,326 | 483 |
| 2025 | 619 | 220 | 607 | 537 | 3,644 | 236 | 756 | 341 |
| Tahun | Konversi Animo-Hasil | Tingkat Seleksi | Retention Rate | Graduation Rate | Attrition Rate | Utilization Capacity | Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 94.2% | 306.3% | 54.5% | 27.4% | 43.9% | 299.4% | 165.6% |
| 2022 | 92.8% | 413.9% | 64.0% | 7.7% | 39.0% | 386.1% | 35.1% |
| 2023 | 87.6% | 328.6% | 65.0% | 10.4% | 36.4% | 301.8% | 50.7% |
| 2024 | 92.2% | 306.4% | 65.0% | 12.2% | 36.5% | 273.6% | 66.1% |
| 2025 | 98.1% | 275.9% | 73.9% | 9.4% | 27.2% | 244.1% | 55.1% |
| Variabel | 2021-2022 | 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025 | Rata-rata Growth | Total Growth 5 Tahun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANIMO | 54.4% | 2.7% | -11.4% | -15.3% | 7.6% | 19.0% |
| DAYA TAMPUNG | 12.5% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 37.5% |
| HASIL | 52.0% | -3.0% | -6.8% | -9.9% | 8.1% | 23.9% |
| MHS BARU | 45.1% | -4.5% | -9.3% | -10.8% | 5.1% | 12.1% |
| MHS AKTIF | 17.3% | 9.0% | -1.2% | -8.1% | 4.2% | 16.1% |
| WISUDA | -67.2% | 48.2% | 15.6% | -29.4% | -8.2% | -60.4% |
| CUTI | 160.0% | 84.6% | 65.3% | 98.3% | 102.1% | 1,473.3% |
| NONAKTIF | 2.4% | -0.7% | -4.5% | -43.0% | -11.4% | -44.6% |
📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan
ANIMO
700
Mean ± 129 (SD)
CV: 18.4% |
Min: 520 |
Max: 825
Q1: 619 |
Median: 731 |
Q3: 803
Skewness: -0.629 |
Kurtosis: -1.396
DAYA TAMPUNG
200
Mean ± 28 (SD)
CV: 14.1% |
Min: 160 |
Max: 220
Q1: 180 |
Median: 220 |
Q3: 220
Skewness: -0.884 |
Kurtosis: -1.750
HASIL
648
Mean ± 103 (SD)
CV: 15.9% |
Min: 490 |
Max: 745
Q1: 607 |
Median: 674 |
Q3: 723
Skewness: -1.008 |
Kurtosis: 0.301
MHS BARU
595
Mean ± 89 (SD)
CV: 14.9% |
Min: 479 |
Max: 695
Q1: 537 |
Median: 602 |
Q3: 664
Skewness: -0.276 |
Kurtosis: -1.687
MHS AKTIF
3,688
Mean ± 348 (SD)
CV: 9.4% |
Min: 3,140 |
Max: 4,012
Q1: 3,644 |
Median: 3,682 |
Q3: 3,964
Skewness: -1.093 |
Kurtosis: 1.173
WISUDA
477
Mean ± 228 (SD)
CV: 47.7% |
Min: 282 |
Max: 861
Q1: 341 |
Median: 418 |
Q3: 483
Skewness: 1.639 |
Kurtosis: 2.937
CUTI
96
Mean ± 87 (SD)
CV: 90.8% |
Min: 15 |
Max: 236
Q1: 39 |
Median: 72 |
Q3: 119
Skewness: 1.255 |
Kurtosis: 1.381
NONAKTIF
1,247
Mean ± 276 (SD)
CV: 22.1% |
Min: 756 |
Max: 1,398
Q1: 1,326 |
Median: 1,365 |
Q3: 1,388
Skewness: -2.181 |
Kurtosis: 4.794