Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Program Studi Pendidikan Jasmani dan Rekreasi

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
219.4%
Sangat Baik
Retention Rate Rata-rata
43.4%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
8.5%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
188.3%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
61.3%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
16.7%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
92.6%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
11.7%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
177.2%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 241 45 174 145 290 8 340 31
2022 291 48 131 101 416 9 372 59
2023 216 120 138 124 520 22 452 33
2024 259 120 209 154 681 44 520 35
2025 230 120 178 146 836 80 567 50
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 72.2% 386.7% 28.1% 10.7% 120.0% 322.2% 12.9%
2022 45.0% 272.9% 42.2% 14.2% 91.6% 210.4% 20.3%
2023 63.9% 115.0% 44.9% 6.3% 91.2% 103.3% 15.3%
2024 80.7% 174.2% 48.7% 5.1% 82.8% 128.3% 13.5%
2025 77.4% 148.3% 52.8% 6.0% 77.4% 121.7% 21.7%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO 20.7% -25.8% 19.9% -11.2% 0.9% -4.6%
DAYA TAMPUNG 6.7% 150.0% 0.0% 0.0% 39.2% 166.7%
HASIL -24.7% 5.3% 51.4% -14.8% 4.3% 2.3%
MHS BARU -30.3% 22.8% 24.2% -5.2% 2.9% 0.7%
MHS AKTIF 43.4% 25.0% 31.0% 22.8% 30.5% 188.3%
WISUDA 90.3% -44.1% 6.1% 42.9% 23.8% 61.3%
CUTI 12.5% 144.4% 100.0% 81.8% 84.7% 900.0%
NONAKTIF 9.4% 21.5% 15.0% 9.0% 13.7% 66.8%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

247
Mean ± 29 (SD)
CV: 11.7% | Min: 216 | Max: 291
Q1: 230 | Median: 241 | Q3: 259
Skewness: 0.819 | Kurtosis: 0.296

DAYA TAMPUNG

91
Mean ± 40 (SD)
CV: 44.4% | Min: 45 | Max: 120
Q1: 48 | Median: 120 | Q3: 120
Skewness: -0.612 | Kurtosis: -3.315

HASIL

166
Mean ± 32 (SD)
CV: 19.2% | Min: 131 | Max: 209
Q1: 138 | Median: 174 | Q3: 178
Skewness: 0.218 | Kurtosis: -1.275

MHS BARU

134
Mean ± 22 (SD)
CV: 16.1% | Min: 101 | Max: 154
Q1: 124 | Median: 145 | Q3: 146
Skewness: -1.081 | Kurtosis: 0.095

MHS AKTIF

549
Mean ± 215 (SD)
CV: 39.2% | Min: 290 | Max: 836
Q1: 416 | Median: 520 | Q3: 681
Skewness: 0.268 | Kurtosis: -1.069

WISUDA

42
Mean ± 12 (SD)
CV: 29.5% | Min: 31 | Max: 59
Q1: 33 | Median: 35 | Q3: 50
Skewness: 0.843 | Kurtosis: -1.589

CUTI

33
Mean ± 30 (SD)
CV: 92.7% | Min: 8 | Max: 80
Q1: 9 | Median: 22 | Q3: 44
Skewness: 1.190 | Kurtosis: 0.632

NONAKTIF

450
Mean ± 96 (SD)
CV: 21.3% | Min: 340 | Max: 567
Q1: 372 | Median: 452 | Q3: 520
Skewness: 0.055 | Kurtosis: -2.163

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028