Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Program Studi Pendidikan Sejarah
Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics
Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028
📊 Executive Dashboard
🎯 Kinerja Inti
Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
91.4%
Sangat Baik
Retention Rate Rata-rata
42.6%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
12.2%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran
📈 Growth Metrics
Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
93.0%
▲
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
-24.0%
▼
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
37.1%
Animo → Wisuda
⚠️ Risk Indicators
Attrition Rate Rata-rata
110.4%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
51.8%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
77.7%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal
📋 Data Historis 2021-2025
Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
| Tahun | Animo | Daya Tampung | Hasil | Mhs Baru | Mhs Aktif | Cuti | Nonaktif | Wisuda |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 89 | 45 | 65 | 55 | 171 | 8 | 156 | 25 |
| 2022 | 165 | 48 | 61 | 49 | 223 | 7 | 277 | 41 |
| 2023 | 60 | 70 | 58 | 39 | 259 | 24 | 305 | 37 |
| 2024 | 50 | 70 | 24 | 44 | 290 | 43 | 285 | 23 |
| 2025 | 76 | 70 | 48 | 32 | 330 | 65 | 227 | 19 |
| Tahun | Konversi Animo-Hasil | Tingkat Seleksi | Retention Rate | Graduation Rate | Attrition Rate | Utilization Capacity | Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 73.0% | 144.4% | 39.1% | 14.6% | 95.9% | 122.2% | 28.1% |
| 2022 | 37.0% | 127.1% | 35.4% | 18.4% | 127.4% | 102.1% | 24.8% |
| 2023 | 96.7% | 82.9% | 39.1% | 14.3% | 127.0% | 55.7% | 61.7% |
| 2024 | 48.0% | 34.3% | 44.4% | 7.9% | 113.1% | 62.9% | 46.0% |
| 2025 | 63.2% | 68.6% | 54.8% | 5.8% | 88.5% | 45.7% | 25.0% |
| Variabel | 2021-2022 | 2022-2023 | 2023-2024 | 2024-2025 | Rata-rata Growth | Total Growth 5 Tahun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANIMO | 85.4% | -63.6% | -16.7% | 52.0% | 14.3% | -14.6% |
| DAYA TAMPUNG | 6.7% | 45.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.1% | 55.6% |
| HASIL | -6.2% | -4.9% | -58.6% | 100.0% | 7.6% | -26.2% |
| MHS BARU | -10.9% | -20.4% | 12.8% | -27.3% | -11.4% | -41.8% |
| MHS AKTIF | 30.4% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 93.0% |
| WISUDA | 64.0% | -9.8% | -37.8% | -17.4% | -0.2% | -24.0% |
| CUTI | -12.5% | 242.9% | 79.2% | 51.2% | 90.2% | 712.5% |
| NONAKTIF | 77.6% | 10.1% | -6.6% | -20.4% | 15.2% | 45.5% |
📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan
ANIMO
88
Mean ± 46 (SD)
CV: 51.8% |
Min: 50 |
Max: 165
Q1: 60 |
Median: 76 |
Q3: 89
Skewness: 1.666 |
Kurtosis: 2.990
DAYA TAMPUNG
61
Mean ± 13 (SD)
CV: 21.3% |
Min: 45 |
Max: 70
Q1: 48 |
Median: 70 |
Q3: 70
Skewness: -0.639 |
Kurtosis: -3.154
HASIL
51
Mean ± 16 (SD)
CV: 32.1% |
Min: 24 |
Max: 65
Q1: 48 |
Median: 58 |
Q3: 61
Skewness: -1.522 |
Kurtosis: 2.151
MHS BARU
44
Mean ± 9 (SD)
CV: 20.3% |
Min: 32 |
Max: 55
Q1: 39 |
Median: 44 |
Q3: 49
Skewness: -0.124 |
Kurtosis: -0.657
MHS AKTIF
255
Mean ± 61 (SD)
CV: 24.0% |
Min: 171 |
Max: 330
Q1: 223 |
Median: 259 |
Q3: 290
Skewness: -0.260 |
Kurtosis: -0.502
WISUDA
29
Mean ± 9 (SD)
CV: 32.7% |
Min: 19 |
Max: 41
Q1: 23 |
Median: 25 |
Q3: 37
Skewness: 0.468 |
Kurtosis: -2.385
CUTI
29
Mean ± 25 (SD)
CV: 84.0% |
Min: 7 |
Max: 65
Q1: 8 |
Median: 24 |
Q3: 43
Skewness: 0.731 |
Kurtosis: -0.943
NONAKTIF
250
Mean ± 60 (SD)
CV: 24.0% |
Min: 156 |
Max: 305
Q1: 227 |
Median: 277 |
Q3: 285
Skewness: -1.191 |
Kurtosis: 0.704