Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Program Studi Pendidikan Kimia

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
37.9%
Perlu Perbaikan
Retention Rate Rata-rata
48.0%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
24.8%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
166.7%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
-15.4%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
57.6%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
89.0%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
38.3%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
23.7%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 22 45 16 8 27 3 53 13
2022 41 48 27 22 48 4 36 8
2023 17 40 13 10 66 4 28 23
2024 19 40 9 4 65 7 23 6
2025 26 40 17 8 72 12 31 11
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 72.7% 35.6% 22.4% 48.1% 207.4% 17.8% 59.1%
2022 65.9% 56.3% 37.1% 16.7% 83.3% 45.8% 19.5%
2023 76.5% 32.5% 52.3% 34.8% 48.5% 25.0% 135.3%
2024 47.4% 22.5% 67.8% 9.2% 46.2% 10.0% 31.6%
2025 65.4% 42.5% 60.4% 15.3% 59.7% 20.0% 42.3%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO 86.4% -58.5% 11.8% 36.8% 19.1% 18.2%
DAYA TAMPUNG 6.7% -16.7% 0.0% 0.0% -2.5% -11.1%
HASIL 68.8% -51.9% -30.8% 88.9% 18.8% 6.3%
MHS BARU 175.0% -54.5% -60.0% 100.0% 40.1% 0.0%
MHS AKTIF 77.8% 37.5% -1.5% 10.8% 31.1% 166.7%
WISUDA -38.5% 187.5% -73.9% 83.3% 39.6% -15.4%
CUTI 33.3% 0.0% 75.0% 71.4% 44.9% 300.0%
NONAKTIF -32.1% -22.2% -17.9% 34.8% -9.3% -41.5%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

25
Mean ± 10 (SD)
CV: 38.3% | Min: 17 | Max: 41
Q1: 19 | Median: 22 | Q3: 26
Skewness: 1.591 | Kurtosis: 2.602

DAYA TAMPUNG

43
Mean ± 4 (SD)
CV: 8.7% | Min: 40 | Max: 48
Q1: 40 | Median: 40 | Q3: 45
Skewness: 0.964 | Kurtosis: -1.301

HASIL

16
Mean ± 7 (SD)
CV: 40.8% | Min: 9 | Max: 27
Q1: 13 | Median: 16 | Q3: 17
Skewness: 1.037 | Kurtosis: 1.814

MHS BARU

10
Mean ± 7 (SD)
CV: 65.8% | Min: 4 | Max: 22
Q1: 8 | Median: 8 | Q3: 10
Skewness: 1.654 | Kurtosis: 3.329

MHS AKTIF

56
Mean ± 18 (SD)
CV: 32.9% | Min: 27 | Max: 72
Q1: 48 | Median: 65 | Q3: 66
Skewness: -1.185 | Kurtosis: 0.497

WISUDA

12
Mean ± 7 (SD)
CV: 54.2% | Min: 6 | Max: 23
Q1: 8 | Median: 11 | Q3: 13
Skewness: 1.365 | Kurtosis: 2.078

CUTI

6
Mean ± 4 (SD)
CV: 61.2% | Min: 3 | Max: 12
Q1: 4 | Median: 4 | Q3: 7
Skewness: 1.462 | Kurtosis: 1.671

NONAKTIF

34
Mean ± 12 (SD)
CV: 33.7% | Min: 23 | Max: 53
Q1: 28 | Median: 31 | Q3: 36
Skewness: 1.356 | Kurtosis: 2.098

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028