Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Program Studi Pend. Bahasa dan Sastra Indonesia

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
211.1%
Sangat Baik
Retention Rate Rata-rata
48.0%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
12.3%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
172.9%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
15.9%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
24.8%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
78.4%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
25.3%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
174.9%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 204 45 143 115 258 2 314 63
2022 343 45 143 130 503 7 342 60
2023 199 80 129 102 559 11 359 47
2024 233 80 106 83 642 25 412 40
2025 210 80 101 79 704 48 415 73
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 70.1% 317.8% 27.5% 24.4% 122.5% 255.6% 30.9%
2022 41.7% 317.8% 48.1% 11.9% 69.4% 288.9% 17.5%
2023 64.8% 161.3% 53.0% 8.4% 66.2% 127.5% 23.6%
2024 45.5% 132.5% 55.3% 6.2% 68.1% 103.8% 17.2%
2025 48.1% 126.3% 56.2% 10.4% 65.8% 98.8% 34.8%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO 68.1% -42.0% 17.1% -9.9% 8.3% 2.9%
DAYA TAMPUNG 0.0% 77.8% 0.0% 0.0% 19.4% 77.8%
HASIL 0.0% -9.8% -17.8% -4.7% -8.1% -29.4%
MHS BARU 13.0% -21.5% -18.6% -4.8% -8.0% -31.3%
MHS AKTIF 95.0% 11.1% 14.8% 9.7% 32.6% 172.9%
WISUDA -4.8% -21.7% -14.9% 82.5% 10.3% 15.9%
CUTI 250.0% 57.1% 127.3% 92.0% 131.6% 2,300.0%
NONAKTIF 8.9% 5.0% 14.8% 0.7% 7.3% 32.2%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

238
Mean ± 60 (SD)
CV: 25.3% | Min: 199 | Max: 343
Q1: 204 | Median: 210 | Q3: 233
Skewness: 1.994 | Kurtosis: 4.030

DAYA TAMPUNG

66
Mean ± 19 (SD)
CV: 29.0% | Min: 45 | Max: 80
Q1: 45 | Median: 80 | Q3: 80
Skewness: -0.609 | Kurtosis: -3.333

HASIL

124
Mean ± 20 (SD)
CV: 16.1% | Min: 101 | Max: 143
Q1: 106 | Median: 129 | Q3: 143
Skewness: -0.317 | Kurtosis: -2.883

MHS BARU

102
Mean ± 21 (SD)
CV: 21.1% | Min: 79 | Max: 130
Q1: 83 | Median: 102 | Q3: 115
Skewness: 0.262 | Kurtosis: -1.769

MHS AKTIF

533
Mean ± 172 (SD)
CV: 32.3% | Min: 258 | Max: 704
Q1: 503 | Median: 559 | Q3: 642
Skewness: -1.194 | Kurtosis: 1.612

WISUDA

57
Mean ± 13 (SD)
CV: 23.2% | Min: 40 | Max: 73
Q1: 47 | Median: 60 | Q3: 63
Skewness: -0.138 | Kurtosis: -1.323

CUTI

19
Mean ± 19 (SD)
CV: 99.6% | Min: 2 | Max: 48
Q1: 7 | Median: 11 | Q3: 25
Skewness: 1.251 | Kurtosis: 0.975

NONAKTIF

368
Mean ± 44 (SD)
CV: 12.0% | Min: 314 | Max: 415
Q1: 342 | Median: 359 | Q3: 412
Skewness: 0.019 | Kurtosis: -2.246

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028