[ Analisis Statistik Komprehensif

Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Program Studi Pendidikan Geografi

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
147.1%
Sangat Baik
Retention Rate Rata-rata
46.1%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
9.3%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
78.7%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
100.0%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
26.6%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
91.6%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
31.4%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
112.7%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 145 45 112 84 282 4 346 32
2022 238 45 97 75 389 5 346 42
2023 116 80 82 67 462 8 360 23
2024 152 80 69 57 488 11 399 33
2025 124 80 66 44 504 23 381 64
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 77.2% 248.9% 34.4% 11.3% 124.1% 186.7% 22.1%
2022 40.8% 215.6% 44.7% 10.8% 90.2% 166.7% 17.6%
2023 70.7% 102.5% 50.8% 5.0% 79.7% 83.8% 19.8%
2024 45.4% 86.3% 49.9% 6.8% 84.0% 71.3% 21.7%
2025 53.2% 82.5% 50.8% 12.7% 80.2% 55.0% 51.6%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO 64.1% -51.3% 31.0% -18.4% 6.4% -14.5%
DAYA TAMPUNG 0.0% 77.8% 0.0% 0.0% 19.4% 77.8%
HASIL -13.4% -15.5% -15.9% -4.3% -12.3% -41.1%
MHS BARU -10.7% -10.7% -14.9% -22.8% -14.8% -47.6%
MHS AKTIF 37.9% 18.8% 5.6% 3.3% 16.4% 78.7%
WISUDA 31.3% -45.2% 43.5% 93.9% 30.9% 100.0%
CUTI 25.0% 60.0% 37.5% 109.1% 57.9% 475.0%
NONAKTIF 0.0% 4.0% 10.8% -4.5% 2.6% 10.1%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

155
Mean ± 49 (SD)
CV: 31.4% | Min: 116 | Max: 238
Q1: 124 | Median: 145 | Q3: 152
Skewness: 1.739 | Kurtosis: 3.284

DAYA TAMPUNG

66
Mean ± 19 (SD)
CV: 29.0% | Min: 45 | Max: 80
Q1: 45 | Median: 80 | Q3: 80
Skewness: -0.609 | Kurtosis: -3.333

HASIL

85
Mean ± 19 (SD)
CV: 22.7% | Min: 66 | Max: 112
Q1: 69 | Median: 82 | Q3: 97
Skewness: 0.547 | Kurtosis: -1.411

MHS BARU

65
Mean ± 16 (SD)
CV: 23.8% | Min: 44 | Max: 84
Q1: 57 | Median: 67 | Q3: 75
Skewness: -0.339 | Kurtosis: -0.699

MHS AKTIF

425
Mean ± 91 (SD)
CV: 21.5% | Min: 282 | Max: 504
Q1: 389 | Median: 462 | Q3: 488
Skewness: -1.193 | Kurtosis: 0.580

WISUDA

39
Mean ± 16 (SD)
CV: 40.2% | Min: 23 | Max: 64
Q1: 32 | Median: 33 | Q3: 42
Skewness: 1.268 | Kurtosis: 1.871

CUTI

10
Mean ± 8 (SD)
CV: 75.1% | Min: 4 | Max: 23
Q1: 5 | Median: 8 | Q3: 11
Skewness: 1.582 | Kurtosis: 2.548

NONAKTIF

366
Mean ± 23 (SD)
CV: 6.3% | Min: 346 | Max: 399
Q1: 346 | Median: 360 | Q3: 381
Skewness: 0.686 | Kurtosis: -1.406

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028