Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Program Studi Pendidikan Fisika

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
37.8%
Perlu Perbaikan
Retention Rate Rata-rata
23.7%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
43.1%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
186.2%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
-16.7%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
72.3%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
245.7%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
19.1%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
29.0%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 22 45 19 15 29 7 122 18
2022 36 38 17 12 35 2 110 24
2023 25 50 19 16 54 2 107 19
2024 27 50 19 15 70 2 102 22
2025 27 50 13 9 83 2 92 15
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 86.4% 42.2% 9.1% 62.1% 444.8% 33.3% 81.8%
2022 47.2% 44.7% 14.6% 68.6% 320.0% 31.6% 66.7%
2023 76.0% 38.0% 23.2% 35.2% 201.9% 32.0% 76.0%
2024 70.4% 38.0% 30.7% 31.4% 148.6% 30.0% 81.5%
2025 48.1% 26.0% 40.9% 18.1% 113.3% 18.0% 55.6%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO 63.6% -30.6% 8.0% 0.0% 10.3% 22.7%
DAYA TAMPUNG -15.6% 31.6% 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 11.1%
HASIL -10.5% 11.8% 0.0% -31.6% -7.6% -31.6%
MHS BARU -20.0% 33.3% -6.3% -40.0% -8.2% -40.0%
MHS AKTIF 20.7% 54.3% 29.6% 18.6% 30.8% 186.2%
WISUDA 33.3% -20.8% 15.8% -31.8% -0.9% -16.7%
CUTI -71.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -17.9% -71.4%
NONAKTIF -9.8% -2.7% -4.7% -9.8% -6.8% -24.6%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

27
Mean ± 5 (SD)
CV: 19.1% | Min: 22 | Max: 36
Q1: 25 | Median: 27 | Q3: 27
Skewness: 1.357 | Kurtosis: 2.656

DAYA TAMPUNG

47
Mean ± 5 (SD)
CV: 11.3% | Min: 38 | Max: 50
Q1: 45 | Median: 50 | Q3: 50
Skewness: -1.485 | Kurtosis: 1.506

HASIL

17
Mean ± 3 (SD)
CV: 15.0% | Min: 13 | Max: 19
Q1: 17 | Median: 19 | Q3: 19
Skewness: -1.714 | Kurtosis: 2.664

MHS BARU

13
Mean ± 3 (SD)
CV: 21.5% | Min: 9 | Max: 16
Q1: 12 | Median: 15 | Q3: 15
Skewness: -1.083 | Kurtosis: -0.062

MHS AKTIF

54
Mean ± 23 (SD)
CV: 42.1% | Min: 29 | Max: 83
Q1: 35 | Median: 54 | Q3: 70
Skewness: 0.167 | Kurtosis: -2.055

WISUDA

20
Mean ± 4 (SD)
CV: 17.9% | Min: 15 | Max: 24
Q1: 18 | Median: 19 | Q3: 22
Skewness: -0.025 | Kurtosis: -0.874

CUTI

3
Mean ± 2 (SD)
CV: 74.5% | Min: 2 | Max: 7
Q1: 2 | Median: 2 | Q3: 2
Skewness: 2.236 | Kurtosis: 5.000

NONAKTIF

107
Mean ± 11 (SD)
CV: 10.3% | Min: 92 | Max: 122
Q1: 102 | Median: 107 | Q3: 110
Skewness: 0.151 | Kurtosis: 0.760

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028