Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Program Studi Bimbingan Konseling

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
95.8%
Sangat Baik
Retention Rate Rata-rata
55.2%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
6.4%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
109.1%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
-61.1%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
14.7%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
63.0%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
40.8%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
69.3%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 66 40 56 42 154 3 87 18
2022 169 80 80 60 199 8 114 18
2023 77 80 67 56 251 14 160 15
2024 115 80 55 34 293 20 171 9
2025 83 80 69 43 322 29 167 7
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 84.8% 140.0% 51.6% 11.7% 58.4% 105.0% 27.3%
2022 47.3% 100.0% 51.3% 9.0% 61.3% 75.0% 10.7%
2023 87.0% 83.8% 52.7% 6.0% 69.3% 70.0% 19.5%
2024 47.8% 68.8% 59.0% 3.1% 65.2% 42.5% 7.8%
2025 83.1% 86.3% 61.6% 2.2% 60.9% 53.8% 8.4%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO 156.1% -54.4% 49.4% -27.8% 30.8% 25.8%
DAYA TAMPUNG 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 25.0% 100.0%
HASIL 42.9% -16.3% -17.9% 25.5% 8.5% 23.2%
MHS BARU 42.9% -6.7% -39.3% 26.5% 5.8% 2.4%
MHS AKTIF 29.2% 26.1% 16.7% 9.9% 20.5% 109.1%
WISUDA 0.0% -16.7% -40.0% -22.2% -19.7% -61.1%
CUTI 166.7% 75.0% 42.9% 45.0% 82.4% 866.7%
NONAKTIF 31.0% 40.4% 6.9% -2.3% 19.0% 92.0%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

102
Mean ± 42 (SD)
CV: 40.8% | Min: 66 | Max: 169
Q1: 77 | Median: 83 | Q3: 115
Skewness: 1.348 | Kurtosis: 1.293

DAYA TAMPUNG

72
Mean ± 18 (SD)
CV: 24.8% | Min: 40 | Max: 80
Q1: 80 | Median: 80 | Q3: 80
Skewness: -2.236 | Kurtosis: 5.000

HASIL

65
Mean ± 10 (SD)
CV: 15.8% | Min: 55 | Max: 80
Q1: 56 | Median: 67 | Q3: 69
Skewness: 0.459 | Kurtosis: -0.797

MHS BARU

47
Mean ± 11 (SD)
CV: 22.8% | Min: 34 | Max: 60
Q1: 42 | Median: 43 | Q3: 56
Skewness: 0.182 | Kurtosis: -1.898

MHS AKTIF

244
Mean ± 68 (SD)
CV: 28.0% | Min: 154 | Max: 322
Q1: 199 | Median: 251 | Q3: 293
Skewness: -0.283 | Kurtosis: -1.548

WISUDA

13
Mean ± 5 (SD)
CV: 38.3% | Min: 7 | Max: 18
Q1: 9 | Median: 15 | Q3: 18
Skewness: -0.459 | Kurtosis: -2.661

CUTI

15
Mean ± 10 (SD)
CV: 68.8% | Min: 3 | Max: 29
Q1: 8 | Median: 14 | Q3: 20
Skewness: 0.413 | Kurtosis: -0.687

NONAKTIF

140
Mean ± 37 (SD)
CV: 26.7% | Min: 87 | Max: 171
Q1: 114 | Median: 160 | Q3: 167
Skewness: -0.846 | Kurtosis: -1.644

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028