Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Program Studi Pendidikan Dokter

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
240.3%
Sangat Baik
Retention Rate Rata-rata
74.7%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
12.8%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
37.5%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
-9.9%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
56.0%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
17.7%
Sedang
Volatilitas Animo
37.9%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
232.9%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 180 28 108 108 638 1 156 81
2022 269 28 108 101 596 3 148 133
2023 126 100 126 123 739 8 109 99
2024 125 100 124 118 859 11 69 61
2025 126 70 126 124 877 9 108 73
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 60.0% 385.7% 69.1% 12.7% 24.6% 385.7% 45.0%
2022 40.1% 385.7% 63.8% 22.3% 25.3% 360.7% 49.4%
2023 100.0% 126.0% 74.8% 13.4% 15.8% 123.0% 78.6%
2024 99.2% 124.0% 85.1% 7.1% 9.3% 118.0% 48.8%
2025 100.0% 180.0% 80.6% 8.3% 13.3% 177.1% 57.9%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO 49.4% -53.2% -0.8% 0.8% -0.9% -30.0%
DAYA TAMPUNG 0.0% 257.1% 0.0% -30.0% 56.8% 150.0%
HASIL 0.0% 16.7% -1.6% 1.6% 4.2% 16.7%
MHS BARU -6.5% 21.8% -4.1% 5.1% 4.1% 14.8%
MHS AKTIF -6.6% 24.0% 16.2% 2.1% 8.9% 37.5%
WISUDA 64.2% -25.6% -38.4% 19.7% 5.0% -9.9%
CUTI 200.0% 166.7% 37.5% -18.2% 96.5% 800.0%
NONAKTIF -5.1% -26.4% -36.7% 56.5% -2.9% -30.8%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

165
Mean ± 63 (SD)
CV: 37.9% | Min: 125 | Max: 269
Q1: 126 | Median: 126 | Q3: 180
Skewness: 1.589 | Kurtosis: 2.040

DAYA TAMPUNG

65
Mean ± 36 (SD)
CV: 55.4% | Min: 28 | Max: 100
Q1: 28 | Median: 70 | Q3: 100
Skewness: -0.164 | Kurtosis: -3.022

HASIL

118
Mean ± 10 (SD)
CV: 8.0% | Min: 108 | Max: 126
Q1: 108 | Median: 124 | Q3: 126
Skewness: -0.576 | Kurtosis: -3.292

MHS BARU

115
Mean ± 10 (SD)
CV: 8.7% | Min: 101 | Max: 124
Q1: 108 | Median: 118 | Q3: 123
Skewness: -0.661 | Kurtosis: -1.688

MHS AKTIF

742
Mean ± 127 (SD)
CV: 17.1% | Min: 596 | Max: 877
Q1: 638 | Median: 739 | Q3: 859
Skewness: -0.028 | Kurtosis: -2.683

WISUDA

89
Mean ± 28 (SD)
CV: 31.3% | Min: 61 | Max: 133
Q1: 73 | Median: 81 | Q3: 99
Skewness: 1.059 | Kurtosis: 0.828

CUTI

6
Mean ± 4 (SD)
CV: 65.9% | Min: 1 | Max: 11
Q1: 3 | Median: 8 | Q3: 9
Skewness: -0.431 | Kurtosis: -2.146

NONAKTIF

118
Mean ± 35 (SD)
CV: 29.7% | Min: 69 | Max: 156
Q1: 108 | Median: 109 | Q3: 148
Skewness: -0.362 | Kurtosis: -0.849

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028