Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Program Studi Ilmu Kesejahteraan Sosial

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
113.1%
Sangat Baik
Retention Rate Rata-rata
52.6%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
18.4%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
-67.5%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
53.8%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
75.6%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
80.2%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
39.9%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
87.3%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 115 62 93 73 849 3 399 39
2022 193 50 67 51 573 9 528 190
2023 79 60 73 55 500 170 562 99
2024 94 40 30 24 413 23 233 52
2025 92 40 34 26 276 27 115 60
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 80.9% 150.0% 63.9% 4.6% 47.3% 117.7% 33.9%
2022 34.7% 134.0% 42.1% 33.2% 93.7% 102.0% 98.4%
2023 92.4% 121.7% 40.2% 19.8% 146.4% 91.7% 125.3%
2024 31.9% 75.0% 57.7% 12.6% 62.0% 60.0% 55.3%
2025 37.0% 85.0% 58.8% 21.7% 51.4% 65.0% 65.2%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO 67.8% -59.1% 19.0% -2.1% 6.4% -20.0%
DAYA TAMPUNG -19.4% 20.0% -33.3% 0.0% -8.2% -35.5%
HASIL -28.0% 9.0% -58.9% 13.3% -16.1% -63.4%
MHS BARU -30.1% 7.8% -56.4% 8.3% -17.6% -64.4%
MHS AKTIF -32.5% -12.7% -17.4% -33.2% -24.0% -67.5%
WISUDA 387.2% -47.9% -47.5% 15.4% 76.8% 53.8%
CUTI 200.0% 1,788.9% -86.5% 17.4% 480.0% 800.0%
NONAKTIF 32.3% 6.4% -58.5% -50.6% -17.6% -71.2%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

115
Mean ± 46 (SD)
CV: 39.9% | Min: 79 | Max: 193
Q1: 92 | Median: 94 | Q3: 115
Skewness: 1.820 | Kurtosis: 3.427

DAYA TAMPUNG

50
Mean ± 11 (SD)
CV: 20.9% | Min: 40 | Max: 62
Q1: 40 | Median: 50 | Q3: 60
Skewness: 0.070 | Kurtosis: -2.909

HASIL

59
Mean ± 27 (SD)
CV: 45.2% | Min: 30 | Max: 93
Q1: 34 | Median: 67 | Q3: 73
Skewness: -0.020 | Kurtosis: -2.036

MHS BARU

46
Mean ± 21 (SD)
CV: 45.3% | Min: 24 | Max: 73
Q1: 26 | Median: 51 | Q3: 55
Skewness: 0.137 | Kurtosis: -1.671

MHS AKTIF

522
Mean ± 214 (SD)
CV: 40.9% | Min: 276 | Max: 849
Q1: 413 | Median: 500 | Q3: 573
Skewness: 0.804 | Kurtosis: 1.154

WISUDA

88
Mean ± 61 (SD)
CV: 69.6% | Min: 39 | Max: 190
Q1: 52 | Median: 60 | Q3: 99
Skewness: 1.589 | Kurtosis: 2.331

CUTI

46
Mean ± 70 (SD)
CV: 150.4% | Min: 3 | Max: 170
Q1: 9 | Median: 23 | Q3: 27
Skewness: 2.125 | Kurtosis: 4.610

NONAKTIF

367
Mean ± 191 (SD)
CV: 52.1% | Min: 115 | Max: 562
Q1: 233 | Median: 399 | Q3: 528
Skewness: -0.414 | Kurtosis: -1.951

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028