Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
177.8%
Sangat Baik
Retention Rate Rata-rata
56.7%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
11.6%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
-19.1%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
-24.0%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
39.8%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
60.3%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
37.8%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
145.2%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 1,471 406 877 653 5,524 112 3,279 566
2022 2,600 376 1,179 989 5,471 181 3,334 818
2023 1,097 670 1,053 856 5,147 249 4,001 657
2024 1,581 630 672 565 4,883 240 1,998 520
2025 1,185 768 736 650 4,470 474 1,651 430
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 59.6% 216.0% 55.9% 10.2% 61.4% 160.8% 38.5%
2022 45.3% 313.6% 51.9% 15.0% 64.2% 263.0% 31.5%
2023 96.0% 157.2% 47.9% 12.8% 82.6% 127.8% 59.9%
2024 42.5% 106.7% 63.2% 10.6% 45.8% 89.7% 32.9%
2025 62.1% 95.8% 64.7% 9.6% 47.5% 84.6% 36.3%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO 76.8% -57.8% 44.1% -25.0% 9.5% -19.4%
DAYA TAMPUNG -7.4% 78.2% -6.0% 21.9% 21.7% 89.2%
HASIL 34.4% -10.7% -36.2% 9.5% -0.7% -16.1%
MHS BARU 51.5% -13.4% -34.0% 15.0% 4.8% -0.5%
MHS AKTIF -1.0% -5.9% -5.1% -8.5% -5.1% -19.1%
WISUDA 44.5% -19.7% -20.9% -17.3% -3.3% -24.0%
CUTI 61.6% 37.6% -3.6% 97.5% 48.3% 323.2%
NONAKTIF 1.7% 20.0% -50.1% -17.4% -11.4% -49.6%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

1,587
Mean ± 600 (SD)
CV: 37.8% | Min: 1,097 | Max: 2,600
Q1: 1,185 | Median: 1,471 | Q3: 1,581
Skewness: 1.649 | Kurtosis: 2.952

DAYA TAMPUNG

570
Mean ± 171 (SD)
CV: 30.0% | Min: 376 | Max: 768
Q1: 406 | Median: 630 | Q3: 670
Skewness: -0.227 | Kurtosis: -2.495

HASIL

903
Mean ± 212 (SD)
CV: 23.5% | Min: 672 | Max: 1,179
Q1: 736 | Median: 877 | Q3: 1,053
Skewness: 0.312 | Kurtosis: -1.915

MHS BARU

743
Mean ± 174 (SD)
CV: 23.5% | Min: 565 | Max: 989
Q1: 650 | Median: 653 | Q3: 856
Skewness: 0.730 | Kurtosis: -1.271

MHS AKTIF

5,099
Mean ± 437 (SD)
CV: 8.6% | Min: 4,470 | Max: 5,524
Q1: 4,883 | Median: 5,147 | Q3: 5,471
Skewness: -0.652 | Kurtosis: -0.780

WISUDA

598
Mean ± 148 (SD)
CV: 24.7% | Min: 430 | Max: 818
Q1: 520 | Median: 566 | Q3: 657
Skewness: 0.719 | Kurtosis: 0.375

CUTI

251
Mean ± 136 (SD)
CV: 54.2% | Min: 112 | Max: 474
Q1: 181 | Median: 240 | Q3: 249
Skewness: 1.325 | Kurtosis: 2.439

NONAKTIF

2,853
Mean ± 988 (SD)
CV: 34.6% | Min: 1,651 | Max: 4,001
Q1: 1,998 | Median: 3,279 | Q3: 3,334
Skewness: -0.283 | Kurtosis: -2.176

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028