Analisis Jumlah Mahasiswa Program Studi Ilmu Ilmu Administrasi Negara

Analisis Statistik Multi-Dimensi dengan Pendekatan Predictive Analytics

Periode Analisis: 2021-2025 | Proyeksi: 2026-2028

📊 Executive Dashboard

🎯 Kinerja Inti

Rata-rata Tingkat Penerimaan
191.2%
Sangat Baik
Retention Rate Rata-rata
51.6%
Kemampuan mempertahankan mahasiswa
Graduation Rate Rata-rata
13.3%
Efektivitas proses pembelajaran

📈 Growth Metrics

Pertumbuhan Mahasiswa Aktif
-14.9%
2021-2025 (5 tahun)
Pertumbuhan Wisuda
-52.1%
Peningkatan output lulusan
Efisiensi Konversi Animo
45.5%
Animo → Wisuda

⚠️ Risk Indicators

Attrition Rate Rata-rata
72.1%
Tinggi
Volatilitas Animo
28.2%
Coefficient of Variation
Utilization Capacity
180.8%
Penggunaan daya tampung optimal

📋 Data Historis 2021-2025

Data Mentah
Indikator Kinerja
Pertumbuhan Tahunan
Tahun Animo Daya Tampung Hasil Mhs Baru Mhs Aktif Cuti Nonaktif Wisuda
2021 238 62 152 134 900 6 714 142
2022 379 50 180 179 932 15 640 155
2023 192 108 179 162 798 30 821 120
2024 251 108 105 105 809 30 389 84
2025 220 148 130 122 766 67 330 68
Tahun Konversi Animo-Hasil Tingkat Seleksi Retention Rate Graduation Rate Attrition Rate Utilization Capacity Efisiensi Animo-Wisuda
2021 63.9% 245.2% 47.2% 15.8% 80.0% 216.1% 59.7%
2022 47.5% 360.0% 48.6% 16.6% 70.3% 358.0% 40.9%
2023 93.2% 165.7% 40.3% 15.0% 106.6% 150.0% 62.5%
2024 41.8% 97.2% 59.8% 10.4% 51.8% 97.2% 33.5%
2025 59.1% 87.8% 61.8% 8.9% 51.8% 82.4% 30.9%
Variabel 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 Rata-rata Growth Total Growth 5 Tahun
ANIMO 59.2% -49.3% 30.7% -12.4% 7.1% -7.6%
DAYA TAMPUNG -19.4% 116.0% 0.0% 37.0% 33.4% 138.7%
HASIL 18.4% -0.6% -41.3% 23.8% 0.1% -14.5%
MHS BARU 33.6% -9.5% -35.2% 16.2% 1.3% -9.0%
MHS AKTIF 3.6% -14.4% 1.4% -5.3% -3.7% -14.9%
WISUDA 9.2% -22.6% -30.0% -19.0% -15.6% -52.1%
CUTI 150.0% 100.0% 0.0% 123.3% 93.3% 1,016.7%
NONAKTIF -10.4% 28.3% -52.6% -15.2% -12.5% -53.8%

📊 Statistik Deskriptif Lanjutan

ANIMO

256
Mean ± 72 (SD)
CV: 28.2% | Min: 192 | Max: 379
Q1: 220 | Median: 238 | Q3: 251
Skewness: 1.709 | Kurtosis: 3.362

DAYA TAMPUNG

95
Mean ± 40 (SD)
CV: 41.6% | Min: 50 | Max: 148
Q1: 62 | Median: 108 | Q3: 108
Skewness: 0.151 | Kurtosis: -1.257

HASIL

149
Mean ± 32 (SD)
CV: 21.6% | Min: 105 | Max: 180
Q1: 130 | Median: 152 | Q3: 179
Skewness: -0.468 | Kurtosis: -1.502

MHS BARU

140
Mean ± 30 (SD)
CV: 21.3% | Min: 105 | Max: 179
Q1: 122 | Median: 134 | Q3: 162
Skewness: 0.259 | Kurtosis: -1.597

MHS AKTIF

841
Mean ± 71 (SD)
CV: 8.5% | Min: 766 | Max: 932
Q1: 798 | Median: 809 | Q3: 900
Skewness: 0.491 | Kurtosis: -2.309

WISUDA

114
Mean ± 37 (SD)
CV: 32.6% | Min: 68 | Max: 155
Q1: 84 | Median: 120 | Q3: 142
Skewness: -0.244 | Kurtosis: -2.280

CUTI

30
Mean ± 23 (SD)
CV: 78.7% | Min: 6 | Max: 67
Q1: 15 | Median: 30 | Q3: 30
Skewness: 1.190 | Kurtosis: 1.828

NONAKTIF

579
Mean ± 211 (SD)
CV: 36.5% | Min: 330 | Max: 821
Q1: 389 | Median: 640 | Q3: 714
Skewness: -0.235 | Kurtosis: -2.409

⏰ Analisis Time Series & Trend

🔗 Analisis Korelasi & Klaster

📈 Analisis Regresi Multivariat

⚠️ Diagnostik Model & Asumsi

🔮 Forecasting & Analisis Skenario 2026-2028